TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara?

Total volume:
$4,596
Volume 24h:
$3,485
398%
Liquidity:
$15,692
211%
Open interest:
$3,947
493%

Guadalajara

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 9, 2026

Time left: 06d:03h:11m

Guadalajara wins

45%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Guadalajara

Trade
45%
26%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
N/A
$3,533
236%
3,993%
$2,976
6d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

CD Guadalajara

Trade
45%
4%
Yes 46¢No 57¢
3¢
$5,183
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
6d 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
45%
Yes 45.5¢No 56.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Leon

Trade
31%
26%
Yes 31¢No 71¢
2¢
N/A
$838
1,585%
N/A
$836
6d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Club León FC

Trade
29%
11%
Yes 31¢No 73¢
4¢
$5,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31%
Yes 31¢No 71¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
27%
20%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
2¢
N/A
$215
932%
N/A
$135
6d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara)

Trade
27%
2%
Yes 28¢No 75¢
3¢
$5,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara Liga MX soccer game scheduled for November 8, 2026. Markets exist for León winning, Guadalajara winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic for game cancellations. Polymarket resolves win markets to 'No' and the draw market to 'Yes' on cancellation, while Kalshi resolves all markets to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. Polymarket offers a hedge against cancellation for win markets, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"." (León/Guadalajara win markets) or "Yes". (Draw market)
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, all markets (Leon win, Guadalajara win, Tie) resolve to 'Yes'. "If the game is canceled entirely, the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Club León FC and CD Guadalajara.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Leon vs Guadalajara professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for November 8, 2026. If Leon wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Leon' market resolves to Yes. If Guadalajara wins under the same conditions, the 'Guadalajara' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Markets do not consider extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Liga MX final. It displays a consensus view of the probability of different outcomes, combining volume of $4,560 and 24-hour volume of $3,449 across both platforms. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08? at 44.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Guadalajara wins at 45.0%. This allows traders to see where the smart money is flowing and compare predictions across different exchanges.

Prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate aggregate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. This can lead to price discovery that is less influenced by biases and more closely aligned with the true likelihood of events. However, liquidity—represented by volume—can differ, impacting how efficiently information is incorporated into the price. The current volume on this market is $4,560.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk preferences. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different levels of liquidity on each platform also contribute to price discrepancies; a large trade on one platform may have a more significant impact than on another. Additionally, variations in trading fees and platform-specific rules can influence how traders approach this market. The differing probabilities—44.5% on Polymarket and 45.0% on Kalshi—highlight these dynamics.

This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara match in the Liga MX final. The winning team, as determined by the official league standings, will be the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff would likely have an impact. Significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media trends, could also move the market. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the final might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Major upsets in other Liga MX games could shift overall expectations and affect trading volume of $4,560.