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412,077

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4,526

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5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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Club Guarani Asuncion vs. Nacional Asuncion
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Club Guarani Asuncion vs. Nacional Asuncion?

Volume:
$132,803

Nacional

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 5:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nacional

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,971
N/A
N/A
$18,908
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nacional Asuncion

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Club Guarani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,633
N/A
N/A
$22,847
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Guarani Asuncion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,350
N/A
N/A
$14,963
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Guarani Asuncion vs. Nacional Asuncion)

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Club Guarani Asuncion and Nacional Asuncion on October 17, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and have similar handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (APF), with tiered fallback sources.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Club Guarani Asuncion wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Nacional Asuncion wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Paraguay Primera División game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Club Guarani Asuncion and Nacional Asuncion.

Kalshi

This event covers three potential results for the Club Guarani vs Nacional professional APF Division de Honor soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026: Club Guarani win, Nacional win, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. Each result corresponds to a market that resolves to Yes if that outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours from the original date, markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The markets are not endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions for the Paraguayan Clasico market from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probability of different outcomes in the upcoming match between Club Guarani Asuncion and Nacional Asuncion. Currently, the aggregated volume across these platforms is $132,803, with $120,082 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the smart money is flowing and compare perspectives across different prediction markets. The dashboard aims to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations for this highly anticipated contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate house edges and may be influenced by promotional considerations, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. This market, specifically, may show discrepancies with sportsbook lines due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even subtle biases among bettors. Generally, prediction markets are considered highly efficient and can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts than traditional betting venues, especially closer to the event date.