TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Club Guabirá vs. Club Bolívar
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Club Guabirá vs. Club Bolívar?

Volume:
$197,132

Bolivar

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 6:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bolivar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92,891
N/A
N/A
$39,857
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Bolívar

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,920
N/A
N/A
$15,846
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Guabirá vs. Club Bolívar)

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Guabira

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,284
N/A
N/A
$12,351
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Guabirá

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Club Guabirá and Club Bolívar in the Bolivia Premier Division, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets exist for Guabirá winning, Bolívar winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation logic.Hero tip: Consider the risk of a canceled match. If you believe a cancellation is likely, favor Polymarket's markets, as they have defined resolution for that scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of data sources (official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations is provided; the market implicitly relies on the game occurring.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between Club Guabirá and Club Bolívar.

Kalshi

If Guabira wins the Guabira vs Bolivar professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Bolivar wins the Guabira vs Bolivar professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Guabira vs Bolivar professional Bolivia Premier Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This market’s implied probabilities may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying information sources and differing incentives. However, both aim to accurately predict the result of the Bolivian soccer match, and comparing them can provide a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Club Guabirá or Club Bolívar could shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also impact the outcome and, consequently, market prices. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or sports news, could also drive trading volume and price movements on Polymarket and Kalshi. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential market fluctuations.