TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Club Atlético de Madrid and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Club Atlético de Madrid and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid" if Club Atlético de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Predict will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of crowd-sourced forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Club Atlético de Madrid or Manchester United FC—scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified sources, ensuring an accurate and impartial determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Predict once the event has concluded and the results are confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Club Atlético de Madrid or Manchester United FC would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move this market, as traders react to any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first.