TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Club Atlético de Madrid and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Club Atlético de Madrid and Manchester United FC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds to ensure profitability, which can slightly distort the true probabilities. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to reflect more accurate probabilities, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in terms of forecast accuracy, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by news, team form, and overall market sentiment, all aggregated through the actions of individual traders on Predict.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Club Atlético de Madrid versus Manchester United FC match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative sources to ensure an accurate and impartial result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict following the completion of the match and verification of the score.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Club Atlético de Madrid or Manchester United FC would likely cause price fluctuations. Major tactical announcements from either manager, changes in team form based on recent matches, and even weather conditions on match day could all impact trading activity. Unexpected news events or significant shifts in public sentiment surrounding either team could also contribute to movement in this market.