TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF
Volume:
$1,140,605
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga match between Club Atlético de Madrid (home) and Getafe CF (away) scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw cancellation clause creates a logical inconsistency with its win/loss markets. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation/postponement guidance. Both platforms agree on the 90+stoppage time window and La Liga as the official source, but differ on edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Request clarification from both platforms on cancellation scenarios before the match date. The Polymarket draw market's cancellation-to-Yes resolution contradicts standard sports betting logic and may be a drafting error. Kalshi's silence on postponement is a gap that should be filled before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Atletico win, draw, Getafe win) resolve based on official La Liga statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Win/loss markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up. CONTRADICTION: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up, creating logical inconsistency with the win/loss outcomes.
- Kalshi: Four total goals markets (>4.5, >3.5, >2.5, >1.5) count combined goals within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit guidance on postponement or cancellation; resolution source is implicit (official match statistics) but edge case handling is absent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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