TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Club Atletico La Paz and Dorados. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Club Atletico La Paz vs Dorados professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026. The resolution applies strictly to goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding any goals that might occur during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same underlying game and time constraints, ensuring consistency across outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of various goal totals. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe over 0.5 goals will be scored, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Club Atletico La Paz versus Dorados match will be used to determine the winning contract. For example, if three goals are scored, the contract for 'Over 2.5 goals' would win. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Club Atletico La Paz or Dorados would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway market sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Unexpected team lineup announcements could also be a catalyst for movement.