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408,127

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Club Almagro vs. Chacarita Juniors
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Club Almagro vs. Chacarita Juniors?

Volume:
$91,536

Almagro

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 4:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Almagro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,362
N/A
N/A
$20,881
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Almagro

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chacarita Juniors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,813
N/A
N/A
$30,768
Settled
No
polymarket

Chacarita Juniors

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,478
N/A
N/A
$8,844
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Almagro vs. Chacarita Juniors)

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers the outcome of a soccer match between Club Almagro and Chacarita Juniors, scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets ask whether Almagro will win, Chacarita Juniors will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: determining the winner (or a draw) within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and a clear hierarchy of data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body (afa.com.ar) or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result of the match within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Resolution relies on official match statistics; secondary sources (Flashscore, Sofascore) are used if official data is unavailable within 2 hours.
  • If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: Polymarket resolves win markets to 'No' and draw markets to 'Yes' if the game is canceled. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation.
  • Data Availability: If official data is unavailable, Flashscore and Sofascore are used in that order. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or sooner if official data is readily available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Club Almagro and Chacarita Juniors.

Kalshi

The event involves three possible outcomes for the Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026: Almagro win, Chacarita Juniors win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs under these conditions. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time. The rules explicitly exclude any affiliation or endorsement by the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of various outcomes for the Almagro vs. Chacarita match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus probability based on trading volume of $91,536 and 24-hour volume of $82,790. This allows you to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is assessing the likelihood of different results in the game. The dashboard provides a combined perspective, reflecting the collective predictions made across both platforms, offering a unique insight into potential game outcomes.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who have 'skin in the game'. This market's prices reflect what individuals are willing to risk, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets and react more quickly to breaking news, so comparing both is valuable. The volume of $91,536 demonstrates active participation in this market.