TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Cienciano
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Cienciano?

Total volume:
$1,828
Volume 24h:
$1,733
2,061%
Liquidity:
$14,281
66%
Open interest:
$1,654
2,000%

Alianza Lima

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 23h:01m:05s

Alianza Lima wins

70%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 70¢ buys you 143 shares | Odds: 70% Total Payout: $143 | Net Profit: $43 Multiplier: 1.43x | ROI: 43% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alianza Lima

Trade
70%
1%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
1¢
N/A
$597
1,995%
N/A
$479
23h 1m
Active
polymarket

Club Alianza Lima

Trade
69%
1%
Yes 70¢No 32¢
2¢
$5,586
$34
0%
N/A
N/A
20h 1m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
69.9%
Yes 70¢No 31.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
23%
Yes 21¢No 81¢
2¢
N/A
$17
0%
N/A
$17
23h 1m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Cienciano)

Trade
20%
Yes 21¢No 81¢
2¢
$3,295
$16
0%
N/A
N/A
20h 1m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
21.5%
Yes 21¢No 81¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

CS Cienciano

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$5,399
$6
0%
N/A
N/A
20h 1m
Active
kalshi

Cienciano

Trade
11%
3%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$1,159
2,950%
N/A
$1,159
23h 1m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
11%
Yes 11.5¢No 89.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Liga 1 soccer match between Club Alianza Lima and CS Cienciano, scheduled for November 3, 2026. Markets exist for Alianza Lima winning, Cienciano winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and use a consistent hierarchy of data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from Liga1.pe, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • A win for Alianza Lima resolves the 'Alianza Lima wins' market to 'Yes'.
  • A win for Cienciano resolves the 'Cienciano wins' market to 'Yes'.
  • A draw resolves the 'Draw' market to 'Yes'.
  • If the game is canceled without a reschedule, the 'Alianza Lima wins' and 'Cienciano wins' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between Club Alianza Lima and CS Cienciano.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes of the Alianza Lima vs Cienciano Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026: a win for Alianza Lima, a win for Cienciano, or a tie. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout results. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event specifically addresses only the standard match result and does not account for extended play formats.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates probabilities for the outcome of the Alianza Lima vs. Cienciano match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability of approximately 69.0% for Alianza Lima wins to win, based on a combined volume of $1,742. This allows for a comprehensive view of predictions beyond any single market. The dashboard tracks volume on both Polymarket and Kalshi to provide a broader understanding of market sentiment. The current 24-hour volume is $1,663.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters. This can differ from sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals and may incorporate a profit margin. Sportsbooks also frequently adjust odds based on betting action to balance their risk, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring. This market, specifically, may show discrepancies due to differing information available to each group and varying levels of market efficiency.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Alianza Lima vs. Cienciano match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing levels of information and interpretation among traders on each platform can lead to varied assessments of the likely outcome. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-11-03? at 69.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Alianza Lima wins at 70.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Alianza Lima vs. Cienciano match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final outcome of this market, as it will be verified against publicly available information.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alianza Lima or Cienciano would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift predictions. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day and any significant tactical changes announced by either team's manager could influence trader sentiment. Major news related to the clubs' ownership or financial stability could also play a role, though less directly.