TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The opening map of the Cloud9 versus LYON League of Legends match sets the stage on October 3, 2026. Which team secures the initial map victory will directly influence early momentum and this market's resolution.
The market resolves to Yes if either Cloud9 or LYON wins map 1 of their scheduled match on October 3, 2026, at 4:00 PM EDT. Any postponement exceeding 48 hours, pre-play cancellation, or forfeiture leads to fair market price resolution. Forfeiture after a map's start resolves per the official result declared by the governing body. Kalshi clarifies it is not affiliated with the League or its branded elements.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular map being chosen. It’s common to see the two converge as the event approaches, but differences can persist, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different maps, and the price of each contract reflects the perceived probability of that map being selected first. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders reacting to news, team performance, and their own analysis of the matchup between Cloud9 and LYON.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first map selected in the Cloud9 versus LYON match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the map that is chosen, and 0 for all other maps. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by the event organizers, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the CS2 map pick market. Any news regarding player form, potential roster changes for either Cloud9 or LYON, or strategic shifts in their map pools could significantly impact trading activity. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams could also shift perceptions. Furthermore, any leaks or credible rumors about the teams’ preferred maps could cause rapid price adjustments. Analyst predictions and community sentiment, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly influence trader behavior.