TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second map in an upcoming Dota 2 match between Cloud Dawning and Yangon Galacticos. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory on that specific map during the scheduled tournament. Outcomes are determined by official match results, with specific procedures for handling postponements or cancellations.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 2 in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia 2026 Dota 2 match between Cloud Dawning and Yangon Galacticos, scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 2:00 AM EDT. If either team wins the map, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves at fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official ruling from the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by supply and demand from individuals trading on Kalshi. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome for the Dota 2 match, potentially identifying opportunities where one venue may offer more favorable odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time for the Dota 2 match winner.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Cloud Dawning versus Yangon Galacticos Dota 2 match. The winning team as declared by the tournament organizers will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to view the final result and any relevant documentation on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player form, team strategies, or even potential roster changes could all shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during earlier matches in the tournament, or analysis from Dota 2 experts, could also impact the odds. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public perception of team strengths are additional signals that could cause significant price fluctuations in this market for the Dota 2 match winner.