TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:20 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Dota 2 teams, Cloud Dawning and Direborn, compete in a best-of format. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory in the second map of their match, with the winner determined by the tournament's official results.
The market resolves based on the official result of map 2 in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia 2026 match between Cloud Dawning and Direborn, scheduled for October 5, 2026, at 2:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the resolution follows the governing body's official result. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information or analytical approaches between prediction market traders and sportsbook operators. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of map 2 in the Cloud Dawning vs. Direborn match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. The final result will be clearly communicated on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for Cloud Dawning or Direborn could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early performance within map 2 itself, could also drive price changes. Major upsets in related competitions or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in online polls and analyst predictions, could also impact trading activity and the overall price of contracts.