TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Clippers vs. Mavericks
Volume:
$9,702,082
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 8:30PM ET: If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures winner-determination markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of game outcome, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket's markets are properly structured: bet on 'Clippers' if you expect LA to win, 'Mavericks' if you expect Dallas to win. All prop markets and totals/spreads are consistent across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline (items 1-2) states 'If Los Angeles C wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Dallas wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This makes the market unresolvable and unhedgeable. Key quote: 'If Los Angeles C wins the Los Angeles C at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins the Los Angeles C at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket correctly structures the moneyline (item 1) with mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to Clippers. If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to Mavericks.' All other markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) use consistent, logically sound resolution criteria with proper threshold definitions and edge-case handling. Key quote: 'If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to Clippers. If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to Mavericks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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