TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:38 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether specific players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Tennessee. Each market tracks individual performance or defensive scoring contributions, providing insight into anticipated player impact and game dynamics.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless the player records the required touchdowns. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, irrespective of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an at-least payout criterion, and this event considers touchdowns scored throughout the entire game, including overtime. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer's total, and team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception applying to them.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, offering a common point of comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion, and can present potential trading opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Kalshi regarding the total number of touchdowns in the Cleveland versus Tennessee game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Cleveland versus Tennessee game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of touchdowns will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Browns or the Titans would be significant, as they directly impact the teams' offensive capabilities. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could also affect scoring. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in player roles could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant public information or analysis regarding the teams’ offensive performance could influence trading activity in this market.