TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for both teams after the game concludes.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Cleveland or Tennessee in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. For any market specifying a team and a point threshold (e.g., 'Tennessee over X points' or 'Cleveland over Y points'), the market resolves to 'Yes' if that team scores more than the stated threshold. If the team scores exactly the threshold or less, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. The governing league’s official scoring and game records determine resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and expert analysis. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional odds as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. It's common to see this market converge toward the 'true' probability as the event approaches, potentially offering value compared to sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the team totals exceeding the specified value. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out $1 if the outcome is true and $0 if it is false.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official team totals for both the Cleveland Browns and the Tennessee Titans will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. The resolution will be based on the final, official statistics recorded by the relevant governing body for the game, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Any adjustments or corrections to the official statistics will be taken into account during the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact, as would any updates on weather conditions expected during the game. News regarding coaching strategies or significant shifts in team performance could also move the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants or shifts in public sentiment based on expert analysis or media coverage can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role.