TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specific thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Sacks are counted only during standard offensive plays and exclude those occurring during two-point conversion attempts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official game result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Cleveland or Tennessee, with resolution dependent on whether the respective team achieves that threshold during the game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could signal differing beliefs about the likelihood of a particular result. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust more rapidly to news than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total team sacks. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically updates the market price. This creates a real-time assessment of the expected number of sacks, influenced by factors like team matchups, player injuries, and historical performance.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded by each team during the game will determine the result. The market will settle based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those with losing contracts will forfeit their stake. It's important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key defensive players – injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time – would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect a team’s ability to generate sacks. Late-breaking news about offensive line weaknesses or changes in defensive schemes could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ defensive capabilities could drive price changes in this market.