TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance in a specific football game, offering payouts based on how many yards particular players gain. Contracts reward higher payouts as yardage increases, with calculations adjusted for precise yard thresholds.
Contracts in this event pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each Yes contract’s payout escalates incrementally with every 10-yard increment in rushing yards, following a cubic scaling formula that caps at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula adjusts raw yardage values into scaled payouts using the expression floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y represents the scaled yardage bucket (calculated as min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))), and s is the official rushing yards recorded. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Negative rushing totals trigger a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All markets resolve to Yes following payout determination, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming official affiliation with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective beliefs of many individuals trading contracts. These differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information than sportsbook odds, as traders react quickly to any developments that might impact the game's outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring – in this case, a certain range of total rushing yards. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to reflect the evolving expectations of participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different rushing yard totals. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total rushing yards achieved by both the Cleveland Browns and the Tennessee Titans during the game will determine the result. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to settle the market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct rushing yard range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game day. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions. News regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about player availability, even late in the week, can cause rapid price adjustments. Finally, any significant public information about the teams’ preparation or game plans could impact how traders assess the likely total rushing yards.