TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often Tony Pollard, the running back for the Tennessee team, carries the ball during the game against Cleveland. The outcome depends on whether he reaches specific thresholds of rushing attempts. The markets settle based on official game statistics once the game begins.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts Tony Pollard records in the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Pollard is active for the team but does not take a snap at any point during the game, all markets settle to their respective fair market prices determined immediately before the game starts. However, once Pollard takes at least one snap—regardless of whether that snap is later nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve strictly according to the official rushing attempt statistics recorded for that play and subsequent plays. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds (14+, 17+, and 20+ rushing attempts) and ensure consistent settlement based on actual in-game performance once any participation occurs.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and expert analysis. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse perspectives. If polls or analysts predict a high-scoring, run-heavy game, the contracts for higher rushing attempt ranges may see increased demand, driving up their price. Conversely, expectations of a pass-focused game could lower prices on those same contracts. It's common to see prediction markets converge toward the 'true' probability as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts by both the Browns and the Titans. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating market movements. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempt totals for both the Cleveland Browns and the Tennessee Titans, as recorded by official league statisticians, will determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the combined total of rushing attempts by both teams, and contracts predicting the correct range will be redeemed at a value of 100. Any discrepancies will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which could favor a run-heavy approach. News regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also impact expectations. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from football experts suggesting a shift in game plan could drive trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.