TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players during the Cleveland vs Tennessee football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Participants bet on whether the actual receptions will trigger specific payout tiers tied to each player's performance. The structure rewards accurate predictions of player involvement in the game.
Contracts pay out based on the exact number of official receptions recorded by named players during the specified football game. Yes contracts follow a tiered payout schedule increasing with each reception up to a maximum of $1.00 for 14 or more receptions, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where s equals the official receptions. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. All Yes payouts are capped at $1.00. The market resolves to Yes when the game occurs under the original schedule. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbook odds, especially as game day approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts predicting the total receptions. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, betting that the total receptions will be above a certain threshold, or sell 'no' contracts, betting it will be below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation of the market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of receptions achieved by all players during the Cleveland Browns versus Tennessee Titans game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the final reception count. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will be paid out based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive matchups could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could influence trading activity and contract prices in this market.