TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Tennessee. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed predefined reception thresholds during the match.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the reception requirement, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes full-game receptions plus overtime. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market tends to aggregate information from a wider range of participants. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market will adjust accordingly, potentially converging with or diverging from sportsbook odds. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events influencing player performance, as traders weigh various factors independently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different outcomes. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe a player will exceed a certain reception total, or sell 'no' contracts if they believe the player will fall short. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely reception totals for players in the Browns vs Titans game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics from the Cleveland vs Tennessee game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual results of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either the Browns or the Titans would likely cause substantial shifts in the market. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting passing games, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding player usage or offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments as traders react to new information before Oct 25, 2026.