TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific receiving yard thresholds for individual players in an upcoming Pro Football game between Cleveland and Tennessee. The outcome depends on whether designated players achieve various yardage milestones during the full game, including overtime.
All markets share a common set of secondary rules that govern contract resolution based on player participation and game statistics. Each contract is designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game starts unless the player meets the specified receiving yardage threshold, in which case it settles based on actual performance. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract always settles based on actual statistics, irrespective of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by a penalty does not count toward participation requirements. Players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with an above-or-at-least payout criterion, and all yardage totals include overtime statistics.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes adjusting more quickly to new information or subtle shifts in expectations as more data becomes available. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about the total receiving yards. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief of the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe the receiving yards will be high, the price of contracts predicting a higher yardage will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards total for both the Cleveland Browns and Tennessee Titans will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the verified total receiving yards achieved during the game, as reported by the official league statistics provider. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather conditions that could affect passing strategies. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or defensive matchups could also shift expectations. In-game events, such as early touchdowns or interceptions, could cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action and reassess the likely final receiving yardage total.