TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing distance above a set threshold in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Tennessee. Each player's performance is evaluated independently to determine if they meet or exceed their respective yardage requirements during the contest.
The event evaluates three separate player performance metrics in the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each participant—Tony Pollard, Cam Ward, and Deshaun Watson—the market resolves to Yes if the athlete records a longest rush exceeding their specified yardage threshold during the game. A key secondary rule clarifies that if any player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the outcome is determined solely by the longest rush they achieve during the game. The markets operate independently, meaning the resolution for one player does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of each player having the longest rush. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the potential for each player to achieve the longest rush. The current volume indicates how actively traders are engaging with each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, once the official results of the game are available. The outcome will be determined by identifying which player had the longest single rushing attempt during the Cleveland versus Tennessee game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official league sources. Traders holding a contract for the player with the longest rush will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for other players will not. This market provides a way to forecast the game's outcome based on individual player performance.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about a player's health or playing time would likely cause substantial movement in the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about defensive matchups or team tendencies could influence predictions. Even public perception, fueled by social media or expert analysis, can play a role in driving volume and altering the prices on Kalshi as the game approaches.