TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performances in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Tennessee. It focuses on whether selected players achieve a longest reception beyond defined yardage thresholds. Outcomes depend entirely on in-game play and player participation.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record a longest reception exceeding their individual yardage thresholds during the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once any player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual longest reception recorded during the game. Each market is independent and evaluates a different player’s performance against their unique threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates the collective judgment of many traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for those who can identify mispricings between the two. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular player having the longest reception. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a specific player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, injuries, and other relevant information, creating a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source for determining the longest reception. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers, changes in weather conditions that might favor a particular passing game, or even strategic adjustments announced by either team’s coaching staff could all shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player roles or formations could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to player availability or performance expectations could lead to substantial price movements in this market.