TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. It examines whether particular players achieve set thresholds of passing yards during the match, offering insights into individual performance expectations.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves the specified passing yard threshold in the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the total passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all passing yard threshold markets for both Cam Ward and Deshaun Watson.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public perception shifts regarding the Browns and Titans.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Buyers and sellers submit bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The price represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring – in this case, the total passing yards falling within a specific range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly updating their predictions based on news, injuries, and other relevant factors, which drives the price movement. The more volume traded, the more confidence there is in the current price reflecting the true probability.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total from the Cleveland Browns versus Tennessee Titans game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result of the game and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key quarterback injuries for either the Browns or the Titans would likely cause a substantial shift in prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact the expected passing yardage. Late-breaking news about receiver availability or defensive strategies employed by each team could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns on Kalshi, will contribute to price fluctuations.