TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for designated quarterbacks in a specific football game, resolving based on whether they achieve certain yardage thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the players' performance during the game, with specific rules addressing partial participation and penalties.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named player achieves the specified passing yard threshold in the full game, including overtime. Contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after, the contract resolves to the fair price unless the threshold is met. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all participants regarding the final passing yardage total for this game. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set in advance and do not change.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage total for both quarterbacks will be tallied from official game statistics. The market will settle to the outcome that corresponds to the actual passing yards achieved during the Cleveland vs Tennessee game. It’s important to note that any official adjustments to the game statistics, such as penalties or scoring changes, will be reflected in the final resolution. The outcome will be determined based on the official game data.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Additionally, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, even without any external news events. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the market's direction.