TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each player achieves during the match. It allows participants to speculate on whether a player will reach certain milestone totals of scoring passes. Outcomes are determined purely by in-game statistics, with specific conditions for player participation.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by the specified quarterback—Cam Ward or Deshaun Watson—during the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named player achieves the exact threshold of passing touchdowns stated in the market title (e.g., 1+, 2+, etc.). If a quarterback is active for the team but does not take a single snap during the game, the market settles at its fair market price as determined before kickoff. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during that game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both quarterbacks and all touchdown thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professionals, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential number of passing touchdowns in the game. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Cleveland Browns and the Tennessee Titans during the game will determine the result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved result of this market.
Several factors could influence the Browns vs Titans passing market. Any news regarding key quarterback injuries for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly predictions of heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected number of passing attempts and completions. Late-breaking news about changes in defensive strategies or key receiver availability could also shift the market. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can also influence the odds as traders react to new information or express their convictions.