TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. The outcome depends on whether the players meet certain thresholds of completed passes during the match. Markets adjust based on actual game participation and performance.
The official rules for this event govern markets centered on passing completions by designated quarterbacks—Cam Ward and Deshaun Watson—in the Cleveland vs Tennessee Professional Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified quarterback achieves a minimum number of passing completions (14+, 19+, or 24+) during the game. A key secondary rule clarifies that if a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual passing completions recorded during the game. These provisions ensure that markets reflect real-game performance while accounting for pre-game uncertainties regarding player participation.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, and the motivations of those placing bets. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved by both the Cleveland Browns and the Tennessee Titans during the game will determine the result. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the league, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances following the official confirmation.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could also move prices. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trader sentiment and affect the volume and pricing within this market.