TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Tennessee. The outcome depends on whether the designated players meet or exceed predetermined thresholds for pass attempts during the contest.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by the named quarterback—Cam Ward or Deshaun Watson—in the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If the quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the market resolves according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (27+, 32+, 37+ for Cam Ward; 26+, 31+, 36+ for Deshaun Watson), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the player meets or exceeds their respective threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may shift in ways that diverge from, or converge with, sportsbook lines, depending on how the crowd interprets the new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular passing attempt total is likely, the higher the price of that contract will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different total, the price will adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt totals for the Cleveland Browns and Tennessee Titans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing attempts, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health – for either the Browns or the Titans – would be a major catalyst. Changes in the projected weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could also influence the expected passing volume. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding offensive strategy, or late-breaking injury reports affecting key receivers, could all lead to shifts in the odds. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.