TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Cleveland vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Tennessee scores first, Cleveland scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments, and it’s always wise to compare both before making a decision.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each team scoring first. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price rises, indicating a higher perceived chance of it occurring, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the game between Cleveland and Tennessee. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the winning outcome. The official game records will serve as the definitive source for settling this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team, particularly to quarterbacks or primary running backs, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if severe conditions are predicted, could also impact the perceived likelihood of different scoring strategies. Finally, late-breaking news about team tactics or coaching decisions could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices within this market.