TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a football game between Cleveland and Tennessee. It highlights the importance of end-game strategies and performance, where momentum can shift dramatically in the last quarter. The outcome depends purely on 4th quarter scoring, excluding any overtime periods.
The market determines the winner of the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) in the Cleveland vs. Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Tennessee scores the most points in the 4th quarter, its market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland scores the most points in the same quarter, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points during the 4th quarter, neither team’s market resolves to Yes, and instead the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th quarter—excluding any overtime—count toward determining the outcome. The market is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has attracted a disproportionate amount of informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price of those contracts increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to own one unit of exposure to that outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and trading contracts accordingly, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the 4th quarter winner of the Cleveland Browns versus Tennessee Titans game will determine the outcome. The result will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predicted outcome matches the verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Browns or Titans would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move this market.