TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Cleveland or Tennessee specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based solely on the point differential achieved by either Cleveland or Tennessee during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold that the winning team must surpass for the contract to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, meaning any points from other quarters are irrelevant. If the game is postponed or canceled without a third quarter being completed, all markets will resolve as 'No'. The contracts are independent of the overall game result, focusing exclusively on the third quarter performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Polls and analysts’ predictions also provide a different perspective, often focusing on expert opinions rather than a broad range of participant views. Examining these different sources can give you a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. The more traders who believe a certain spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that spread will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the most accurate forecast possible.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Cleveland Browns versus Tennessee Titans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their contracts settled in their favor. The platform will automatically process payouts based on the final spread and the contracts held by each trader.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Titans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.