TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential between Cleveland and Tennessee during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Outcomes depend solely on which team leads by a specific margin at the end of that quarter, with varying thresholds for victory margins.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point difference between Cleveland and Tennessee at the end of the second quarter of the game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: Cleveland must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, or Tennessee must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points for the respective 'Yes' outcome. Only points scored during the second quarter count; any points from other quarters are irrelevant. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to 'No.' The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and only the specific market tied to the exact point differential threshold resolves as 'Yes.'
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probability of different outcomes, though this market is driven by traders on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe the Browns will cover a certain spread, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second quarter between the Cleveland Browns and the Tennessee Titans will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and will be used to settle all outstanding contracts in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Titans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price swings.