TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Spread
kalshi

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Spread

Volume:
$1,264,920

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 11:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$284,190
N/A
N/A
$135,237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$132,653
N/A
N/A
$56,728
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,403
N/A
N/A
$41,339
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$539,625
N/A
N/A
$351,120
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,205
N/A
N/A
$76,165
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,594
N/A
N/A
$22,299
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,251
N/A
N/A
$12,611
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional baseball game between Cleveland and Tampa Bay. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The collective markets provide a detailed view of potential score variations, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various winning margins for either team.

Kalshi

The event consists of six markets, each defining a specific run differential threshold for determining a resolution. Markets 1, 2, and 3 address scenarios where Tampa Bay wins by more than 3.5, 2.5, or 1.5 runs respectively. Conversely, Markets 4, 5, and 6 resolve if Cleveland secures a victory by exceeding thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs. All markets apply strictly to the professional baseball game scheduled for October 12, 2026, at 8:00 PM EDT between Cleveland and Tampa Bay. The resolution hinges solely on the final score difference, with no consideration for other factors such as game duration, extra innings, or disqualifications. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.