TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jaylen Warren or Quinshon Judkins will each score at least one touchdown in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Jaylen Warren: 1+ touchdowns a 21.0% probability, while Quinshon Judkins: 1+ touchdowns is at 16.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Germie Bernard scores at least one touchdown in the game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for November 1, 2026, as the outcome hinges on performance during that fixture and will resolve by November 2, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players or defensive units score at least one touchdown in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each participant, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether they scored a touchdown during the game. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team are excluded and do not count toward resolving these markets. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player and defensive unit markets in this event.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public bias or risk management. This market, however, allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, leading to a potentially more objective assessment of the likely outcome. While sportsbooks may initially offer different probabilities, they often adjust their lines as the event approaches, frequently converging with the predictions made in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential for various touchdown totals in the game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of touchdowns scored in the Cleveland versus Pittsburgh game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The precise timing of resolution depends on the official release of game data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cleveland or Pittsburgh teams would likely have a significant impact, as this directly affects the offensive capabilities of each side. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations regarding scoring potential. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies or matchups could sway market sentiment and cause prices to fluctuate before the market closes.