TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a professional football game between two teams scheduled for a specific date. It focuses on the game's result, specifically whether it concludes without a winner. The outcome hinges on whether the game ends with no decisive victor.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, this market could indicate a stronger belief in a tie, or vice versa, depending on the information available to traders. This difference highlights the unique insights offered by prediction markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a tie in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh game, and the price of these contracts reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a tie, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price can fluctuate rapidly based on news, analysis, and overall market sentiment. The current price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the game ends in a tie.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh game, specifically whether the final score ends in a tie. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who hold contracts representing the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cleveland or Pittsburgh team could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a low-scoring, potentially tied game, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, expert analysis and public sentiment, as reflected in polls or social media, could influence traders’ beliefs and drive price movements. Unexpected strategic decisions by either team during the game itself could also lead to rapid adjustments in the market.