TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many total yards each team accumulates during the match. The outcome depends on whether predefined yardage thresholds are met by either team. The contest reflects strategic evaluations of team capabilities and game conditions.
The event resolves based on the total offensive yards recorded by each team in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to different yardage thresholds (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, and 450+) for both teams. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves its corresponding threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a separate condition for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially be influenced by public perception, this market can adjust more rapidly to new information as traders react and update their predictions. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that range occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price represents the expected value, and you can interpret it as the probability of the total yardage falling within a specific range. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for both the Cleveland Browns and the Pittsburgh Steelers, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. The market will settle based on the combined yardage achieved during the game. It’s important to note that any adjustments or revisions to official NFL statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market. The outcome will be determined by the official statistics, not by any individual’s interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly quarterbacks and wide receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations regarding passing yardage. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could influence trading activity and, consequently, the market price.