TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on Rico Dowdle's rushing performance in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh matchup. Payouts increase with yards gained, with a ceiling of $1.00 for Yes positions.
Contracts pay based on rushing yards recorded by specified players in designated NFL games. Yes contracts earn $0.0025 per yard up to $1.00 maximum, while No contracts receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are scalar and capped at 400 yards, with examples provided for different yard thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional considerations into their lines, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating new information. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with those found at major sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly reflect new information and changing expectations about the Cleveland versus Pittsburgh game's rushing yardage totals.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the NFL game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for relevant players will be used to determine which contracts settle positively. The resolution will be based on the official NFL data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Cleveland or Pittsburgh teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts – particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted – could also shift expectations, as inclement weather typically favors a run-heavy offensive approach. Additionally, late-breaking news about defensive strategies or coaching decisions could influence how traders assess the potential for rushing yardage. Finally, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could move this market.