TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many rushing yards specific players achieve in a football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. Payouts increase progressively with higher yardage totals, offering different returns based on performance thresholds for each participant.
Contracts pay out based on the rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the specified game, with payouts structured to reward higher performance levels. Each Yes contract's payout scales non-linearly, calculated using a cubic function of the player's yardage divided by a maximum threshold, capped at $1.00. The No contract pays the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. Negative yardage results in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All calculations are rounded down to the nearest ten yards and then applied to the payout formula, ensuring a smooth, ascending reward curve that incentivizes higher yardage achievements while maintaining a maximum payout ceiling.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, but it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting. Comparing the two can offer a more nuanced understanding of potential game outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for both the Cleveland Browns and the Pittsburgh Steelers will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves around Nov 1, 2026. Injury reports for key running backs on both the Browns and Steelers are paramount; any news regarding their playing status will likely cause price shifts. Weather conditions on game day, particularly rain or snow, could impact the running game and therefore the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in offensive line personnel could also move this market as traders adjust their expectations.