TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. It examines whether designated players achieve various yardage milestones during the match. The contracts resolve based on official game statistics, accounting for specific participation conditions.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but not after, the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the player meets the specified rushing yardage threshold. Actual statistics determine resolution if the player participates in any play after the first half, regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in plays nullified by penalties does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. All yardage totals include overtime periods, and the contracts apply only to full-game scenarios with above-or-at-least criteria for payout. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining these differences can be valuable when forming your own informed opinion about the likely total rushing yards in this game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting higher rushing yard totals, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing yards from the Cleveland versus Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally will be sourced from official NFL statistics, and the contract corresponding to the closest predicted rushing yard total will be settled as the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions for the game. News regarding offensive line matchups or coaching strategies could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics will likely impact trading activity and the price of contracts in this market, potentially leading to substantial movement.