TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific player achieves certain cumulative yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving in an upcoming football game. The outcomes depend entirely on the player's performance during the contest, with specific benchmarks set for different levels of achievement.
All markets resolve based on whether Quinshon Judkins accumulates specified rushing and receiving yardage totals (60+, 85+, or 110+) in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Judkins is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once he takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the market resolves according to the actual yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets for this player and game.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. If significant differences emerge, arbitrage opportunities may exist for informed traders, potentially driving the prediction market price closer to the consensus expectation reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe the combined yardage will be higher, the price of contracts representing higher yardage increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of the final yardage total. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of the bet, and the implied probability can be derived from the price relative to $100.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official combined rushing and receiving yards for the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage total, as recorded by official league statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process is independent and based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final settled value on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team – especially running backs and wide receivers – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also shift expectations regarding passing versus running plays. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could also move the market. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and cause price fluctuations.