TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions by specific players in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. Participants can bet on whether each player will achieve a certain level of performance, with payouts scaling based on the actual number of receptions recorded.
This event consists of four separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s reception count in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the specified player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size and constrained between $0.00 and $1.00. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; eleven receptions would result in a Yes payout of $0.55 and a No payout of $0.45; zero receptions would yield a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves based solely on the reception count of its designated player.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, such as injury reports, than sportsbook lines, which can be slower to adjust.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total receptions in the Browns-Steelers game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the market. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals from the Browns-Steelers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of the total receptions achieved by all eligible players during the contest. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Browns or Steelers would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could further contribute to volatility. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations will be closely watched by traders.