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Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Cleveland vs Pittsburgh?

Volume:
$716

Harold Fannin Jr.

 - Kalshi

Harold Fannin Jr. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:20 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Harold Fannin Jr.

View
36%
Yes 36.4¢No 63.6¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Denzel Boston

8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Quinshon Judkins

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jaylen Warren

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
$364
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

DK Metcalf

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Rico Dowdle

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets track the number of receptions achieved by specific players during an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. Contracts pay out based on a tiered scale corresponding to the exact reception count, with higher payouts for more receptions up to a maximum cap.

Kalshi

Each market operates as a scalar betting contract tied to the exact number of receptions recorded by a designated player in the specified game. Yes contracts pay out according to a predefined tiered schedule that increases with the number of receptions, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where s represents the official receptions. The maximum payout for Yes contracts is $1.00, and any payout exceeding this amount is capped at $1.00. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring that the total payout for both Yes and No contracts combined equals $1.00. The market resolves to Yes if the actual reception count matches or exceeds the threshold defined in the payout schedule. All markets are independent, with each player's reception count evaluated separately, and the governing league's official statistics determine the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a player will exceed their reception total, the price for that outcome will rise, potentially moving further away from the initial sportsbook line. This difference can highlight areas where the market anticipates a different result than conventional wisdom suggests.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the number of receptions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. If many traders believe a player will exceed a certain reception total, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will rise. Conversely, if traders think it's unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official stats released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. The resolution will reflect the actual number of receptions achieved by each player during the game.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and influence trading activity. A key player being ruled out would likely cause a substantial movement in the prices for related outcomes. Additionally, any updates on a player’s role within the offense or their recent performance could also drive changes in the market. Analyst reports and public sentiment can also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the collective predictions of traders.