TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Nov 1, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. The outcome depends purely on the scoring progression during the match, not the final score. If the game is delayed or canceled under specific conditions, the market will either resolve based on the actual result or be settled at a fair price.
The event determines whether Cleveland, Pittsburgh, or neither team is the first to score 21 points in their football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible outcomes: Pittsburgh scoring first, Cleveland scoring first, or neither team reaching 21 points during the game’s full duration, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. However, if the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable settlement regardless of external scheduling disruptions. The resolution hinges solely on the first team to achieve the 21-point threshold, with no consideration given to the final score if that threshold is surpassed by either side during the game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest and trading activity. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations about the Browns and Steelers' performance. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team, the Cleveland Browns or the Pittsburgh Steelers, reaches 21 points first during the game. Official game statistics from a trusted source will be used to determine the winning team. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive payouts based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or Steelers would likely cause movement. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if it favors one team's offensive style, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to shifts in the market price. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as early turnovers or dominant performances by specific players, would also be major catalysts.