TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. Specific players are evaluated based on whether they achieve a designated longest rush yardage threshold during the match. The outcome depends solely on each player's in-game rushing stats.
All markets in this event resolve based on whether specified players record a longest rush exceeding defined yardage thresholds in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For any player market, if the athlete is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the longest rush actually recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all four player-specific markets, with each market independently evaluating its respective player's performance against its unique yardage requirement.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each player achieving the longest rush. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and adjust prices faster than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each player's probability of having the longest rush. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the potential for each player to achieve the longest rush.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics and game data, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results and confirmation of the longest rush in the game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or weather conditions impacting the game could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about a player’s health or playing time, or even adjustments to the game plan favoring a particular running style, could all lead to price fluctuations. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable shifts in the odds as we approach Nov 1, 2026.