TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a longest reception exceeding set yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their ability to gain significant yardage on a single catch during the match.
The event evaluates multiple individual player markets to determine if each specified athlete records a longest reception exceeding their designated yardage threshold in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the named player achieves a reception longer than the stated yardage mark, that specific market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if a player is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution is based solely on the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each participant's performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time insights from individuals actively trading on their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the player with the longest reception recorded in the official game statistics will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, even minor ones, could cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, as traders react to evolving narratives surrounding the game and individual player performance expectations. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.