TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. The outcome depends on whether the designated player achieves various yardage thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on whether the named player achieves specified passing yard thresholds in the full game, including overtime. Contracts are designated as protected: if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the yardage threshold is met, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price of a contract can move up or down based on supply and demand, influenced by news, injuries, or changes in public opinion regarding the performance of the quarterbacks involved in the Cleveland versus Pittsburgh game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals for the Cleveland versus Pittsburgh game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yardage statistics, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the official results reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is confirmed. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks, such as the starting quarterbacks for either the Cleveland or Pittsburgh teams, would likely cause substantial price movement. Weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions, like heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations about passing yardage totals. Additionally, late-breaking news about changes in offensive strategies or defensive matchups could shift trader sentiment and affect the prices within this market. Public perception and analyst predictions can also play a role.