TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each starting quarterback achieves. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach various threshold levels of scoring passes during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by in-game statistics, with specific conditions for player availability and snap participation.
All markets in this event resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified quarterbacks (Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson) during the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ touchdowns) that must be met or exceeded by the named quarterback for a 'Yes' resolution. If a quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps throughout the game, the market settles at its fair market price as determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any resulting plays are nullified by penalties—the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns they record during their playing time. These rules apply uniformly across all sub-markets for each quarterback, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for different scoring thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges, potentially offering different value depending on your assessment of the game. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments and the types of bettors each venue attracts.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team during the Cleveland versus Pittsburgh game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly the quarterbacks, would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing volume. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game might also shift expectations. Finally, late-breaking news about team dynamics or player matchups could all contribute to volatility in this market.