TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes or units achieve predetermined fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend on detailed statistical contributions across various in-game activities, measured by a standardized fantasy scoring system. Each market is resolved based on official game statistics after the match concludes.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) between Cleveland and Pittsburgh scheduled for November 1, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified player or team accumulates more fantasy points than the stated threshold. Players not participating or未被Sleeper分配幻想积分值将视为得分0。所有幻想积分总和均使用Sleeper在到期日发布的值,无需额外四舍五入,且到期后对结果的更正不予考虑。得分包括传球、冲刺、接球、踢球以及防守和特殊队伍的贡献。防守得分基于允许的对手得分,而个人得分则包括触球、得分和特殊队伍活动。
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those initially offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value than traditional betting options. It's a fascinating comparison to see how collective intelligence stacks up against professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the event. The closer we get to the event date, the more volatile the prices may become as uncertainty decreases and the potential for large swings increases.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for players on the Cleveland and Pittsburgh teams will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official fantasy scoring rules as defined by a major fantasy sports provider, and will be publicly available following the completion of the relevant games. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Cleveland or Pittsburgh teams would be a significant catalyst, as they directly impact expected fantasy point production. Unexpected changes in player roles or coaching strategies could also shift the market. Additionally, news regarding weather conditions that might affect the game, or even late-breaking information about player matchups, could all lead to price movements as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions.