TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. Each market ties financial outcomes directly to the specific player's fantasy points scored during the game, using a standardized scoring system. The structure allows participants to bet on both high performance (Yes) and low performance (No) scenarios for each player.
Each market determines payouts based on the weekly Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy-point total a specified player scores during the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, as reported by Sleeper. For Yes contracts, the payout is calculated at $0.01 per fantasy point, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player’s fantasy points are negative or not reported by Sleeper for that week, they are considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts scale proportionally with contract positions, meaning a holder’s share of the total pool reflects their position size relative to all participants. All markets are independent, with each player’s performance evaluated separately, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NFL.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market finds value and how it perceives risk compared to conventional betting outlets.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final fantasy football ladder standings for players from the Cleveland and Pittsburgh teams, as determined by standard fantasy scoring rules. The market will determine which team's players achieve a higher cumulative fantasy score, and that will be the resolved outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key players can significantly impact a team’s fantasy football performance. Unexpected breakout performances from lesser-known players could also shift the odds. News regarding team strategies, coaching changes, or even weather conditions affecting game play could all contribute to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of player potential or team strength has the potential to move this market.