TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
For this market, both Cleveland and Pittsburgh must score points in every quarter of regulation time during their matchup. This includes any type of scoring play like touchdowns, field goals, or safeties occurring in each of the first, second, third, and fourth quarters.
If Cleveland and Pittsburgh both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly than Kalshi as new information becomes available. While sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows participants to collectively forecast the likelihood of both teams scoring in every quarter, potentially leading to a more accurate prediction as the event approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets converge with sportsbook odds closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the 'Yes' outcome—both teams scoring in every quarter—and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of this specific scoring scenario occurring during the game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on official game statistics confirming whether both the Cleveland and Pittsburgh teams scored in each of the four quarters of the game. The final score will be used to determine if both teams met the condition of scoring in every quarter. The outcome will be determined by the official game results, and any disputes will be resolved based on those records.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the Cleveland or Pittsburgh offense would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that could impact scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the teams’ offensive capabilities could sway trader sentiment and affect the price of this market. Game day developments, such as early scoring drives, will also have an immediate impact.